Friday, May 31, 2019

Humorous Wedding Speech for a Car Salesman -- Wedding Toasts Roasts Sp

Humorous Wedding Speech for a Car Salesman unassailable evening Ladies and Gentlemen for those of you who dont know me Im Floyd, Edwards best man. Of course, the only problem with being the best man at a wedding is that you never get a chance to prove it, but if whateverone wants to start a drinking competition later, then come talk to me.Edward has been a great friend to me since we met. And, over that time, hes always been there for me. I remember especially him being there when I had my first car crash oh, thats right, Edward was operate LaughterHonestly Edward, Im not really up here to embarrass you. You did a fine job of that yourself during your bachelors party (stag night). In fact, we were a little concerned when you made your cross-dressing tendencies public, that Nancy might have had some competition today. But given the formal nature of the occasion, I am pleased to see, Edward, that youve decided to copy my outfit, rather than hers. Edward has gone through many evolut ionary changes to end up the man he is today. In order to see exactly what went wrong, lets examine Edwards c arer. As many of you know, Edward has been climbing the ladder in sales in recent years. This comes as no surprise since he has always been able to talk his way out of anything. You know, his parents still believe that it wasnt him who flooded the kitchen. Edwards talent for being able to spin any di... ... the surface, Edward was still a simple Somerset boy at heart. Shes different to us he informed me. What do you mean? I enquired. Well, range it this way, Edward replied, she gets out of the bath to have a pee. None the less, they hit it off. And weve seen both of them grow over the six years of their relationship. I think their marriage is press release to be a wonderful partnership and Edward will be the silent one. Truthfully, I cant think of two other people that are better suited to spending the rest of their lives together Ladies and gentlemen, it gives me great pleasure, not to mention relief, to ask you all to raise a toast to the newly weds. praise to the bride and groom.

Thursday, May 30, 2019

The Bayesian Theory of Confirmation, Idealizations and Approximations in Science :: Scientific Papers

The Bayesian Theory of Confirmation, Idealizations and Approximations in ScienceABSTRACT My focus in this paper is on how the basic Bayesian model can be revise to reflect the role of idealizations and approximations in the confirmation or disconfirmation of any hypothesis. I suggest the following as a plausible way of incorporating idealizations and approximations into the Bayesian condition for incremental confirmation Theory T is confirmed by observance P relative to background knowledge where I is the conjunction of idealizations and approximations used in derivation the portent PT from T, PD expresses the discrepancy between the prediction PT and the actual observation P, and stands for logical entailment. This formulation has the virtue of explicitly taking into grade the essential use made of idealizations and approximations as well as the fact that theoretically based predictions that utilize such assumptions will not, in general, exactly sum the data. A non-probabili stic analogue of the confirmation condition above that I offer avoids the old evidence problem, which has been a headache for classical Bayesianism. Idealizations and approximations like point-masses, perfectly elastic springs, parallel conductors crossing at infinity, assumptions of linearity, of negligible masses, of perfectly spherical shapes, be commonplace in science. Use of such simplifying assumptions as catalysts in the process of deriving testable predictions from theories complicates our picture of confirmation and disconfirmation. Underlying the difficulties is the fact that idealizing and approximating assumptions are already cognize to be false statements, and yet they are often indispensable when testing theories for truth. This aspect of theory testing has been long neglected or misunderstood by philosophers. In standard hypothetico-deductive, bootstrapping and Bayesian accounts of confirmation, idealizations and approximations are simply ignored. My focus in this p aper is on how the basic Bayesian model can be amended to reflect the role of idealizations and approximations in the confirmation or disconfirmation of an hypothesis. I suggest the following as a plausible way of incorporating idealizations and approximations into the Bayesian condition for incremental confirmation Theory T is confirmed by observation P relative to background knowledge where I is the conjunction of idealizations and approximations used in deriving the prediction PT from T, PD expresses the discrepancy between the prediction PT and the actual observation P, and stands for logical entailment. This formulation has the virtue of explicitly taking into account the essential use made of idealizations and approximations as well as the fact that theoretically based predictions that utilize such assumptions will not, in general, exactly fit the data.

The Future of Renewable Energy and RE Policy Mechanisms Essay -- Energ

Albert Einstein, the famed physicist, once noted that We cant solve our problems with the same kind of thinking we used when we created them. Todays world is approach with the dual threats of climate problems brought on by the use of fossil fuels and the economic challenge caused by the increasing scarcity and demand for those fossil fuels. It is time for society to look beyond the limited and dirty fossil fuels as the energy of choice and promote the use of the abundant renewable energy sources we are empower with. Because the subsidies to wind and other alternative energies ultimately generate more than income than their initial costs and because we continue to subsidize fossil fuels, we should modify governmental tax policy to incentivize and establish the renewable energy industries so that they remain competitive with fossil fuels.Estimates that the worlds population will expand from todays 6.7 gazillion to more than 9 billion in 2050 foretell of a coming demand explosio n for energy (Friedman 29). Increased requirements for food, transportation, and consumer goods will result in large energy consumption on many fronts. Fossil fuels, which currently provide an estimated 80 percent of the worlds energy supply, have already been consumed for more than a century and their finite supplies are becoming increasingly difficult to find and more expensive to produce (Prediction of Energy Consumption World-wide). The combination of increasing energy demand and depleting fossil fuel supplies calls for government action to incentivize the production and use of the unlimited supplies of renewable energies. Inducements may come in the take a crap of direct subsidies to the producers of renewable energy, construction of the necessary transm... ...n of Energy Consumption World-wide. Time for change. n.p., n.d. Web. 2 March 2012.Puzzanghera, Jim and Kathleen Hennessey. White House Unveils Corporate Tax Changes to Fix inequitable System. latimes.com. Lo s Angeles Times, 22 Feb. 2012. Web. 2 March 2012.Shah, Anup. World Military Spending. globalissues.org. n.p., 2 May 2011. Web. 2 March 2012.Wald, Matthew L. Fossil Fuels Hidden Cost in Billions, Study Says. NYTimes.com. The bracing York Times, 19 Oct. 2009. Web. 8 March 2012.Whats the Real Cost of Fossil Fuels? hubpages.com. riversedge, n.d. Web. 8 March 2012.Wiser, Ryan, Mark Bolinger, and Galen Barbose. Using the Federal Production Tax trust to Build a Durable Market for Wind Power in the United States. Ernest Orlando Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory. Clean Energy States Alliance, Nov. 2007. Web. 27 Feb. 2012.

Wednesday, May 29, 2019

Richmond vs. Virginia :: essays research papers

Richmond vs. refreshing OrleansRecently I was thinking about how I live devil different lives. My one life is the main one, where I live in New Orleans, LOISUANNA, and go to a Community College. I have my circle of friends and my girlfriend, solely I al commissions feel like something is missing. My other life resides in Richmond, VA. I have no idea how my mom found the place, but she did. I have been going to Richmond since I was very young. I grew up with most of the kids in townshipsfolk and consider those guys my family. There is only one pathway light in the whole town and nothing, but trees, mountains, rivers, and lakes. I always find myself contrasting my two lives and wishing I could have them both. In New Orleans, where I have lived for four years, I have a lot of friends, but cant help notice the difference in the way people in Louisiana are compared to Virginia. People in Louisiana are all about their materials. What they have, what kind of car they drive, and how bi g the wardrobe is. I even find myself competing to look the best and have the fastest ride, but the people in Virginia are not materialistic at all. They dont have any Burberry purses or 12 pairs of Nike Air Force Ones. All they care about is having fun and going to work. Richmond also feels like a bubble in comparison to New Orleans. By that I mean Richmond doesnt have any hardcore drugs, thieves of the night, or crazy police. The town has about 2 police officers and that is more than enough. Since it is a small town everyone knows everybody and when a bad seed pops up, that person is usually exiled from the town. The kids there are so nave, because they have really never been to a city, but once ore twice. They dont see any bad people in the town and they rarely have had any encounters with them. My friends in New Orleans are the complete opposite. Most of them are scam proof and dont die for any tricks. They are tough and have had to deal with bad people all their lives. In city -life I find there isnt as much loyalty to each other as in a small town. Most people in a city are usually aspect out for themselves and people they care about and usually nothing else matters.

Night before x-mas parody :: essays research papers

Twas the night before spring break, when all through the cityLots of young people were stirring, excite in their houseThe short pants and short sleeves were hung in the closet with care,In hopes that warm weather soon would be thereThe children were restless creation stuck in there beds,While visions of pre-summer fun danced in there headsAnd dark in the window and I on the couch,Had just woken up from a riotous evening nap,When out on the lawn there arose such a clatter, I sprang from my resting place to see to see what was the matter.Away to the window I flew like a flash,Turned on the light and threw up the sash.The moon on the rest of the fresh spring grassGave the luster of morning to objects below,When what to my sleepy eyes should appear, barely a kid on a razor scooter, offending my ears.With a little young rider so lively and quick,I knew in a moment it must be a neigbor.More anoying than anything was the grinding that came,As he rumbled and grumbled down the pavement he cameAs dry leaves before the nonsensical hurricane fly,When he meets a small rock scooter and rider will fly,So down to the street corner he flew,With a frown on his face and a broken scooter too.And then, in a twinkling, i heard on the streetThe jumping and screaming and each muffled oof.As i drew in my hand and was turning around,Up from the pavement he came with a bound.He was dressed all in new apparel from his head to his foot,And his clothes were all tarnished with dirt from a nearby tree rootA beat up scoter he had flung on his back,And he looked like he was homeless and high on crack.His eyes didnt twinkle, his dimples not merryHis cheeks were filled with embarrassment and his face red as a cherryHis droll little mouth pulled down in a frown,And the amusement of his actions compared with a clownThe stump of a handlebar he held tight in his hand,And the thought of his misfortune circled his head,He had a broad face and a round little belly,That shook when he walked like a bowlful of jelly.He was chubby and plump, a right sorry young elf,And i laughed when i saw him, in spite of myself

Tuesday, May 28, 2019

Eliots The Waste Land and Maddys No Past, No Present, No Future :: Wasteland Maddy Eliot Essays

T.S. Eliots The Waste Land and Yulisa Amadu Maddys No Past, No Present, No Future Time and circumstance swop everything. When we are young, the world is fresh, exciting, and pure. As people age, we begin to realize how corrupt the world is. Our old center of attention, one based on trust, breaks down. Everyone in the world is flavor out for their personal well-being, not the well-being of others. With this knowledge, peoples perspectives change. Rather than trusting every thing, we question the meaning and motive behind it. Our once happy, unobjectionable world is now polluted and depressing. All things fall apart because the center cannot hold. It must change to accommodate lifes changes.T.S. Eliot and Yulisa Amadu Maddy are two authors who give care with this theory in their writings. Eliot published The Waste Land shortly after World War I. The horrific war drastically changed the custodytality of the world. Thousands died. The living were leftover with endless questions Wh y did so many die? Did the life of the deceased bring any meaning? What is the meaning of any persons life? These questions prove that the center of society is changing. Not long before this period, people were content. They lived their lives day to day without questioning their actions. Now, they must second-guess everything, not just daily choices, but the replete(p) reason that they must make such choices. The war to end all wars did not end the internal battles of its survivors. They are confused and helpless in the wasteland left by destruction.In No Past, No Present, No Future, Maddy proves it does not take a war for things to fall apart. His story is of three men who make some life changing mistakes. These circumstances are not as globally traumatic as a war. Still, they cause each reference book to question his every action, just as the war caused society to question every action. Their centers change as their ways of thinking change. Each person suffers through with(pre dicate) their own internal battles. Things begin to fall to pieces while their centers transform.Sex is the catalyst for all destruction. As children, we are oblivious to it. Our bodies have not reached full maturity. Therefore, we have no desire for sexual indulgence or experimentation. The Thrills of prepubescent life come from exploring surroundings. We play and develop our personalities and imaginations. The entire time, we are learning and growing physically and intellectually.

Eliots The Waste Land and Maddys No Past, No Present, No Future :: Wasteland Maddy Eliot Essays

T.S. Eliots The Waste Land and Yulisa Amadu Maddys No Past, No Present, No in store(predicate) Time and circumstance change everything. When we ar young, the world is fresh, exciting, and pure. As people age, we begin to realize how corrupt the world is. Our old center, one based on trust, breaks down. Everyone in the world is looking out for their personal well-being, not the well-being of others. With this knowledge, peoples perspectives change. Rather than trusting every thing, we question the meaning and former behind it. Our once happy, innocent world is now polluted and depressing. All things settle down apart because the center cannot hold. It must change to accommodate lifes changes.T.S. Eliot and Yulisa Amadu Maddy be two authors who deal with this theory in their writings. Eliot published The Waste Land shortly after World War I. The horrific war drastically changed the mentality of the world. Thousands died. The living were left with endless questions Why did so m eac h die? Did the life of the deceased turn out any meaning? What is the meaning of any persons life? These questions prove that the center of society is changing. Not long before this period, people were content. They lived their lives day to day without questioning their actions. Now, they must second-guess everything, not merely daily choices, but the entire reason that they must make such choices. The war to end all wars did not end the internal battles of its survivors. They are confused and helpless in the wasteland left by destruction.In No Past, No Present, No Future, Maddy proves it does not take a war for things to fall apart. His story is of three men who make some life changing mistakes. These circumstances are not as globally traumatic as a war. Still, they cause each character to question his every action, just as the war caused society to question every action. Their centers change as their ways of thinking change. Each person suffers through their own internal battle s. Things begin to fall to pieces while their centers transform.Sex is the catalyst for all destruction. As children, we are oblivious to it. Our bodies have not reached full maturity. Therefore, we have no desire for sexual indulgence or experimentation. The Thrills of prepubescent life come from exploring surroundings. We play and develop our personalities and imaginations. The entire time, we are learning and growing physically and intellectually.